Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jacob Volkmann
Paul Sass
46%
54%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
20-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
15-2
W5
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Volkmann: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Sass: 1 sig / 0 TD
Jacob Volkmann
Paul Sass
19
Sig strikes landed
17
61
Sig strikes attempted
56
33
Total strikes landed
34
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
208s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
49%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W2
Paul Sass
15-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—