Main
Light Heavyweight
Igor Pokrajac vs Fabio Maldonado
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
·EagleBank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Igor Pokrajac
Fabio Maldonado
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
29-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-12
W2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pokrajac: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Maldonado: 98 sig / 0 TD
Igor Pokrajac
Fabio Maldonado
42
Sig strikes landed
55
92
Sig strikes attempted
74
56
Total strikes landed
78
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
127s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
29-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23-12
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—