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Main Bantamweight

Yves Jabouin vs Jeff Hougland

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Yves Jabouin
Jeff Hougland
65% 35%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34
21-11
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-6
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jabouin: 50 sig / 0 TD · Hougland: 18 sig / 0 TD
Yves Jabouin
Jeff Hougland
39
Sig strikes landed
39
97
Sig strikes attempted
84
55
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Yves Jabouin

"Tiger"
21-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
W UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
L UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Blue corner
W1

Jeff Hougland

"Hellbound"
11-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber