Prelims1
Middleweight
Brad Tavares vs Dongi Yang
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
·EagleBank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Brad Tavares
Dongi Yang
52%
48%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
24
Age
Δ 3y
27
21-14
Career record
Δ 16 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tavares: 39 sig / 2 TD ·
Yang: 32 sig / 1 TD
Brad Tavares
Dongi Yang
33
Sig strikes landed
24
69
Sig strikes attempted
49
57
Total strikes landed
44
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
184s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Tavares
21-14
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner
L1
Dongi Yang
"The Ox"
13-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—