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Prelims1 Lightweight

Cody McKenzie vs Marcus LeVesseur

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier ·EagleBank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Cody McKenzie
Marcus LeVesseur
48% 52%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
24
Age
Δ 5y
30
L2
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McKenzie: 1 sig / 0 TD · LeVesseur: 7 sig / 2 TD
Cody McKenzie
Marcus LeVesseur
28
Sig strikes landed
35
71
Sig strikes attempted
75
45
Total strikes landed
54
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
151s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Cody McKenzie

16-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
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L UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
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Blue corner

Marcus LeVesseur

"The Prospect"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30