Main
Welterweight
Amir Sadollah vs Jorge Lopez
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
·EagleBank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amir Sadollah
Jorge Lopez
33%
67%
Why
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
6-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
11-6
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sadollah: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Lopez: 32 sig / 4 TD
Amir Sadollah
Jorge Lopez
43
Sig strikes landed
54
93
Sig strikes attempted
120
81
Total strikes landed
77
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
101s
Control time
237s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Amir Sadollah
6-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1
Jorge Lopez
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—