Main
Featherweight
Chan Sung Jung vs Dustin Poirier
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
·EagleBank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chan Sung Jung
Dustin Poirier
29%
71%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
25
Age
Δ 2y
23
18-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
31-10
W2
Current streak
W4
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 4
Jung: 74 sig / 4 TD ·
Poirier: 56 sig / 0 TD
Chan Sung Jung
Dustin Poirier
27
Sig strikes landed
31
83
Sig strikes attempted
70
43
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
132s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Chan Sung Jung
"The Korean Zombie"
18-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
Blue corner
W4
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
31-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—