Prelims1
Lightweight
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Kamal Shalorus
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
·EagleBank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rafael Dos Anjos
Kamal Shalorus
91%
9%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
28
Age
Δ 12y
40
32-18
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-6-2
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Dos Anjos: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Shalorus: 2 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Dos Anjos
Kamal Shalorus
37
Sig strikes landed
18
70
Sig strikes attempted
58
64
Total strikes landed
34
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.00
205s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rafael Dos Anjos
32-18
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L2
Kamal Shalorus
"Prince of Persia"
9-6-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—