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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Jeff Curran vs Johnny Eduardo

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier ·EagleBank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jeff Curran
Johnny Eduardo
63% 37%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
36-19-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
28-14
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Curran: 31 sig / 0 TD · Eduardo: 51 sig / 0 TD
Jeff Curran
Johnny Eduardo
39
Sig strikes landed
40
95
Sig strikes attempted
107
50
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
101s
Control time
57s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jeff Curran

"Big Frog"
36-19-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1

Johnny Eduardo

28-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—