Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Keith Wisniewski
Chris Clements
77%
23%
Why
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Wisniewski: 28 sig / 3 TD ·
Clements: 68 sig / 0 TD
Keith Wisniewski
Chris Clements
42
Sig strikes landed
37
94
Sig strikes attempted
81
65
Total strikes landed
53
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
226s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Keith Wisniewski
"The Polish Connection"
28-16-1
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
Blue corner
Chris Clements
"The Menace"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36