Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Marcus Brimage
Maximo Blanco
48%
52%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Brimage: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Blanco: 18 sig / 0 TD
Marcus Brimage
Maximo Blanco
45
Sig strikes landed
54
104
Sig strikes attempted
131
49
Total strikes landed
70
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
56s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marcus Brimage
"The Bama Beast"
8-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29