Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mac Danzig
Efrain Escudero
34%
66%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
21-13-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
28-13
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Danzig: 67 sig / 1 TD ·
Escudero: 56 sig / 0 TD
Mac Danzig
Efrain Escudero
35
Sig strikes landed
31
75
Sig strikes attempted
82
56
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
151s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mac Danzig
21-13-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—
Blue corner
L2
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—