Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Makdessi
Anthony Njokuani
74%
26%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 8"
76"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
18-10
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-13
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Makdessi: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Njokuani: 73 sig / 0 TD
John Makdessi
Anthony Njokuani
65
Sig strikes landed
56
135
Sig strikes attempted
129
69
Total strikes landed
68
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
34s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
16-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—