Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mark Hominick
Eddie Yagin
65%
35%
Why
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
20-13
Career record
Δ 3 pp
16-8-1
L2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Hominick: 110 sig / 0 TD ·
Yagin: 84 sig / 0 TD
Mark Hominick
Eddie Yagin
43
Sig strikes landed
27
86
Sig strikes attempted
61
51
Total strikes landed
38
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mark Hominick
"The Machine"
20-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
L1
Eddie Yagin
"The Filipino Phenom"
16-8-1
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—