Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Travis Browne
Chad Griggs
71%
29%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 6"
73"
30
Age
Δ 4y
34
W2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Browne: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Griggs: 0 sig / 0 TD
Travis Browne
Chad Griggs
33
Sig strikes landed
21
67
Sig strikes attempted
42
48
Total strikes landed
35
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
19-7-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 4
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
D
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34