Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Roger Bowling
Brandon Saling
82%
18%
Why
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bowling: 38 sig / 3 TD ·
Saling: 18 sig / 0 TD
Roger Bowling
Brandon Saling
47
Sig strikes landed
35
102
Sig strikes attempted
75
67
Total strikes landed
45
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
221s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roger Bowling
"Relentless"
13-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
Strikeforce - Melendez vs. Masv…
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—
W
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
Brandon Saling
"White Steel"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
26