Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sarah Kaufman
Alexis Davis
64%
36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
19-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Kaufman: 135 sig / 0 TD ·
Davis: 139 sig / 1 TD
Sarah Kaufman
Alexis Davis
74
Sig strikes landed
68
183
Sig strikes attempted
169
112
Total strikes landed
97
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
106s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sarah Kaufman
19-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—
L
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
W2
Alexis Davis
22-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—