Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Caros Fodor
Pat Healy
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
28
Age
Δ 0y
29
12-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
35-23
W5
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Fodor: 32 sig / 1 TD ·
Healy: 35 sig / 4 TD
Caros Fodor
Pat Healy
29
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
87
40
Total strikes landed
49
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Caros Fodor
"The Future"
12-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
Strikeforce - Melendez vs. Masv…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 15
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
Blue corner
W3
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
35-23
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 18
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 14
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—