Back to UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Prelims1 Lightweight

Reza Madadi vs Yoislandy Izquierdo

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva ·Ericsson Globe
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Reza Madadi
Yoislandy Izquierdo
53% 47%
Why
34
Age
Δ 5y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Madadi: 1 sig / 3 TD · Izquierdo: 36 sig / 0 TD
Reza Madadi
Yoislandy Izquierdo
35
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
75
51
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Reza Madadi

"Mad Dog"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
Blue corner

Yoislandy Izquierdo

"Cuba"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28