Back to UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Prelims1 Welterweight

Simeon Thoresen vs Besam Yousef

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva ·Ericsson Globe
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Simeon Thoresen
Besam Yousef
73% 27%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Thoresen: 37 sig / 1 TD · Yousef: 28 sig / 0 TD
Simeon Thoresen
Besam Yousef
40
Sig strikes landed
32
83
Sig strikes attempted
72
56
Total strikes landed
40
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
164s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Simeon Thoresen

"The Grin"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Besam Yousef

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27