Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Cyrille Diabate vs Tom DeBlass
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cyrille Diabate
Tom DeBlass
46%
54%
Why
38
Age
Δ 9y
30
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Diabate: 48 sig / 2 TD ·
DeBlass: 1 sig / 2 TD
Cyrille Diabate
Tom DeBlass
46
Sig strikes landed
31
76
Sig strikes attempted
70
65
Total strikes landed
54
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
62s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
19-11-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
Tom DeBlass
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30