Main
Welterweight
DaMarques Johnson vs John Maguire
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
·Ericsson Globe
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
DaMarques Johnson
John Maguire
21%
79%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
16-15
Career record
Δ 22 pp
25-9
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Johnson: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Maguire: 6 sig / 3 TD
DaMarques Johnson
John Maguire
13
Sig strikes landed
29
38
Sig strikes attempted
32
33
Total strikes landed
42
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
279s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
DaMarques Johnson
"Darkness"
16-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
W1
John Maguire
"The One"
25-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—