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Anton Kuivanen vs Justin Salas

UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger ·Omaha Civic Auditorium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Anton Kuivanen
Justin Salas
79% 21%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kuivanen: 38 sig / 0 TD · Salas: 50 sig / 4 TD
Anton Kuivanen
Justin Salas
40
Sig strikes landed
32
83
Sig strikes attempted
72
56
Total strikes landed
46
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Anton Kuivanen

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Justin Salas

"J-Bomb"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30