Main
Bantamweight
Ivan Menjivar vs John Albert
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
·Omaha Civic Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ivan Menjivar
John Albert
73%
27%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
25
26-12
Career record
Δ 10 pp
7-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Menjivar: 25 sig / 1 TD ·
Albert: 31 sig / 0 TD
Ivan Menjivar
John Albert
35
Sig strikes landed
30
85
Sig strikes attempted
84
49
Total strikes landed
29
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
17s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ivan Menjivar
"The Pride of El Salvador"
26-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
Blue corner
W1
John Albert
"Prince"
7-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—