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Anthony Perosh vs Nick Penner

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann ·Qudos Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Anthony Perosh
Nick Penner
38% 62%
Why
39
Age
Δ 8y
32
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perosh: 25 sig / 2 TD · Penner: 5 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Perosh
Nick Penner
21
Sig strikes landed
24
43
Sig strikes attempted
43
36
Total strikes landed
40
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Anthony Perosh

"The Hippo"
16-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
L UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner

Nick Penner

"The Quiet Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32