Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Steven Siler
48%
52%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
22-11
Career record
Δ 1 pp
30-16
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 72 sig / 1 TD ·
Siler: 81 sig / 1 TD
Cole Miller
Steven Siler
45
Sig strikes landed
41
125
Sig strikes attempted
88
48
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
22s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Steven Siler
"Super"
30-16
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—