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Lightweight

Chris Spang vs Ricky Legere Jr.

Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine ·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chris Spang
Ricky Legere Jr.
67% 33%
Why
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Spang: 23 sig / 0 TD · Legere Jr.: 16 sig / 5 TD
Chris Spang
Ricky Legere Jr.
44
Sig strikes landed
43
107
Sig strikes attempted
100
57
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
75s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Chris Spang

"The Kiss"
7-3
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce Challengers 19
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Blue corner

Ricky Legere Jr.

"IE Bad Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Age
26