Back to Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine
Catch Weight

Estevan Payan vs Alonzo Martinez

Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine ·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Estevan Payan
Alonzo Martinez
36% 64%
Why
30
Age
Δ 2y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Payan: 110 sig / 0 TD · Martinez: 46 sig / 0 TD
Estevan Payan
Alonzo Martinez
41
Sig strikes landed
51
101
Sig strikes attempted
106
56
Total strikes landed
66
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
23%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Estevan Payan

"El Terrible"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Alonzo Martinez

"Zo Diddy"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
28