Light Heavyweight
Trevor Smith vs Gian Villante
Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine
·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Trevor Smith
Gian Villante
57%
43%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
16-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-14
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Smith: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Villante: 18 sig / 1 TD
Trevor Smith
Gian Villante
35
Sig strikes landed
18
53
Sig strikes attempted
52
32
Total strikes landed
29
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
87s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
64%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Trevor Smith
"Hot Sauce"
16-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
W1
Gian Villante
18-14
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
Strikeforce Challengers 18
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—