Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles Oliveira
Eric Wisely
81%
19%
Why
22
Age
Δ 5y
28
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Oliveira: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Wisely: 2 sig / 0 TD
Charles Oliveira
Eric Wisely
28
Sig strikes landed
25
60
Sig strikes attempted
48
40
Total strikes landed
41
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
Eric Wisely
"Little Lee"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28