Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Russow
Jon Olav Einemo
80%
20%
Why
35
Age
Δ 1y
36
16-3
Career record
Δ 24 pp
6-4
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Russow: 21 sig / 6 TD ·
Einemo: 31 sig / 0 TD
Mike Russow
Jon Olav Einemo
33
Sig strikes landed
17
56
Sig strikes attempted
35
57
Total strikes landed
21
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.1
3.6
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
238s
Control time
24s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Mike Russow
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
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Blue corner
L1
Jon Olav Einemo
"The Viking"
6-4
Career record
Height
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
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