Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Terry Etim
62%
38%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
26
Age
26
25-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
17-5
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Barboza: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Etim: 26 sig / 2 TD
Edson Barboza
Terry Etim
34
Sig strikes landed
30
99
Sig strikes attempted
81
51
Total strikes landed
40
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.60
Knockdowns
0.00
85s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
25-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
W1
Terry Etim
17-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
L
UFC 112: Invincible
—