Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ricardo Funch
Mike Pyle
35%
65%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
31
Age
Δ 5y
36
9-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
27-15-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Funch: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Pyle: 11 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Funch
Mike Pyle
19
Sig strikes landed
25
39
Sig strikes attempted
38
31
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
357s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ricardo Funch
"Golden Boy"
9-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
Blue corner
L1
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
27-15-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—