Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Belfort
Anthony Johnson
29%
71%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
27-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
23-6
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Belfort: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Johnson: 4 sig / 2 TD
Vitor Belfort
Anthony Johnson
5
Sig strikes landed
22
18
Sig strikes attempted
52
18
Total strikes landed
38
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
52s
Control time
241s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
27-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
W2
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
23-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—