Prelims1
Lightweight
Takanori Gomi vs Eiji Mitsuoka
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Takanori Gomi
Eiji Mitsuoka
86%
14%
Why
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gomi: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Mitsuoka: 32 sig / 1 TD
Takanori Gomi
Eiji Mitsuoka
30
Sig strikes landed
32
74
Sig strikes attempted
64
46
Total strikes landed
48
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
56s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
35-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
L
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
Eiji Mitsuoka
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36