Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Pettis
Joe Lauzon
65%
35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
25-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
29-16
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pettis: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Lauzon: 0 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Pettis
Joe Lauzon
28
Sig strikes landed
25
61
Sig strikes attempted
63
45
Total strikes landed
41
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
25-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
W2
Joe Lauzon
29-16
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—