Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Megumi Fujii
Karla Benitez
95%
5%
Why
38
Age
Δ 5y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Fujii: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Benitez: 0 sig / 0 TD
Megumi Fujii
Karla Benitez
56
Sig strikes landed
39
132
Sig strikes attempted
123
92
Total strikes landed
61
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
215s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Megumi Fujii
"Mega Megu"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Age
38
Blue corner
Karla Benitez
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Age
33