Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hiroyuki Takaya
Takeshi Inoue
61%
39%
Why
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
22-14-2
Career record
Δ 13 pp
24-10
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Takaya: 129 sig / 4 TD ·
Inoue: 58 sig / 0 TD
Hiroyuki Takaya
Takeshi Inoue
37
Sig strikes landed
41
101
Sig strikes attempted
110
63
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.50
84s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Hiroyuki Takaya
"Streetfight Bancho"
22-14-2
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
DREAM - Japan GP Final
—
W
Dynamite!! 2010
—
W
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 14
—
Blue corner
W2
Takeshi Inoue
"Lion"
24-10
Career record
Height
68"
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
DREAM 17
—
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
L
DREAM 16
—