Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nam Phan
Jimy Hettes
38%
62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
29
Age
Δ 4y
25
22-17
Career record
Δ 24 pp
12-3
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Phan: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Hettes: 81 sig / 11 TD
Nam Phan
Jimy Hettes
26
Sig strikes landed
87
84
Sig strikes attempted
190
52
Total strikes landed
103
0.1
Takedowns landed
2.5
0.1
Takedowns attempted
10.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
326s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nam Phan
22-17
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
Blue corner
W1
Jimy Hettes
"The Kid"
12-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—