Prelims1
Featherweight
Ross Pearson vs Junior Assuncao
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ross Pearson
Junior Assuncao
36%
64%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
20-17
Career record
Δ 20 pp
17-6
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pearson: 52 sig / 1 TD ·
Assuncao: 43 sig / 3 TD
Ross Pearson
Junior Assuncao
47
Sig strikes landed
60
120
Sig strikes attempted
143
70
Total strikes landed
83
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
109s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
85%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20-17
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W1
Junior Assuncao
17-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—