Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Devin Cole
Gabriel Salinas-Jones
82%
18%
Why
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
21-10-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
5-3-1
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Devin Cole
Gabriel Salinas-Jones
46
Sig strikes landed
39
108
Sig strikes attempted
103
64
Total strikes landed
63
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Devin Cole
21-10-1
Career record
Height
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
Blue corner
L1
Gabriel Salinas-Jones
5-3-1
Career record
Height
73"
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—