Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jerron Peoples
Roger Bowling
66%
34%
Why
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
4-4
Career record
Δ 13 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jerron Peoples
Roger Bowling
38
Sig strikes landed
46
70
Sig strikes attempted
92
53
Total strikes landed
84
1.7
Takedowns landed
2.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
135s
Control time
273s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jerron Peoples
4-4
Career record
Height
72"
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
L1
Roger Bowling
"Relentless"
12-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—
W
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—