Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Justin Wilcox
Caros Fodor
56%
44%
Why
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
14-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
12-6
W3
Current streak
W4
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Justin Wilcox
Caros Fodor
38
Sig strikes landed
40
94
Sig strikes attempted
97
45
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Justin Wilcox
"Silverback"
14-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Strikeforce Challengers 15
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
W4
Caros Fodor
"The Future"
12-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 15
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—