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Women's Featherweight

Cristiane Justino vs Hiroko Yamanaka

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cristiane Justino
Hiroko Yamanaka
93% 7%
Why
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
W2
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Justino: 12 sig / 0 TD · Yamanaka: 0 sig / 0 TD
Cristiane Justino
Hiroko Yamanaka
59
Sig strikes landed
49
122
Sig strikes attempted
101
100
Total strikes landed
68
3.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
313s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Cristiane Justino

"Cyborg"
22-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
W Strikeforce - Miami
Blue corner

Hiroko Yamanaka

"Cat's Eye"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
33