Prelims1
Middleweight
Jared Hamman vs Constantinos Philippou
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jared Hamman
Constantinos Philippou
66%
34%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
15-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-5
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hamman: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Philippou: 21 sig / 1 TD
Jared Hamman
Constantinos Philippou
42
Sig strikes landed
38
101
Sig strikes attempted
88
65
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
196s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jared Hamman
"The Messenger"
15-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W1
Constantinos Philippou
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—