Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Makdessi
Dennis Hallman
19%
81%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
27
Age
Δ 9y
36
19-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
53-21-2
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Makdessi: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Hallman: 20 sig / 1 TD
John Makdessi
Dennis Hallman
29
Sig strikes landed
34
66
Sig strikes attempted
78
41
Total strikes landed
50
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.3
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
24s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
19-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Dennis Hallman
"Superman"
53-21-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—