Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Krzysztof Soszynski vs Igor Pokrajac
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Krzysztof Soszynski
Igor Pokrajac
15%
85%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
34
Age
Δ 2y
33
27-12-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
29-13
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Soszynski: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Pokrajac: 21 sig / 0 TD
Krzysztof Soszynski
Igor Pokrajac
36
Sig strikes landed
33
68
Sig strikes attempted
72
62
Total strikes landed
42
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
178s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Krzysztof Soszynski
"The Polish Experiment"
27-12-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Open Stance
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W1
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
29-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—