Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mark Hominick
Chan Sung Jung
47%
53%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
29
Age
Δ 5y
25
20-13
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hominick: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Jung: 6 sig / 0 TD
Mark Hominick
Chan Sung Jung
40
Sig strikes landed
45
98
Sig strikes attempted
108
49
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
81s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mark Hominick
"The Machine"
20-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
Blue corner
W1
Chan Sung Jung
"The Korean Zombie"
18-8
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—