Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rich Attonito
Jake Hecht
40%
60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
34
Age
Δ 7y
28
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Attonito: 17 sig / 1 TD ·
Hecht: 33 sig / 0 TD
Rich Attonito
Jake Hecht
31
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
71
49
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rich Attonito
"The Raging Bull"
11-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner
Jake Hecht
"Hitman"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28