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Prelims1 Featherweight

Steven Siler vs Josh Clopton

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Steven Siler
Josh Clopton
81% 19%
Why
25
Age
Δ 6y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Siler: 72 sig / 0 TD · Clopton: 43 sig / 4 TD
Steven Siler
Josh Clopton
42
Sig strikes landed
27
83
Sig strikes attempted
64
60
Total strikes landed
44
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
147s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Steven Siler

"Super"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Josh Clopton

"The Gentleman"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30